OpenAI Co-Founder: AI Agents Are Still 10 Years Away
AI researcher Andrej Karpathy asserted in a lengthy podcast interview that while LLMs show huge progress, a decade of "grunt work" still lies ahead. When OpenAI co-founder Andrej Karpathy speaks, even Elon Musk reacts. Karpathy had just recorded a two-and-a-half-hour interview with podcaster Dwarkesh Patel. And their wide-ranging discussion challenged conventional wisdom, with Karpathy pointing out roadblocks on any road to artificial general intelligence (AGI), and arguing that we’re 10 years away from AI agents. Right off the bat, Karpathy said “there’s some over-prediction going on in the industry.” And later, on X.com, he provided specifics on his own expectations: “Basically my AI timelines are about 5-10 times [as] pessimistic with regard to what you’ll find in your neighborhood San Francisco AI house party or on your Twitter timeline, but still quite optimistic with regard to a rising tide of AI deniers and skeptics.” Conversations inevitably continued on soci...